Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.637772 1.708942 1.781954 1.862592 1.949316 2.039959 2.142086
2025-12-28 1.527859 1.631930 1.742865 1.870492 2.013991 2.171211 2.357675
2026-01-04 1.421056 1.544765 1.680547 1.841838 2.029813 2.244005 2.509546
2026-01-11 1.355974 1.496249 1.654138 1.847050 2.079275 2.353703 2.708665
2026-01-18 1.310305 1.464840 1.642674 1.865519 2.141865 2.479820 2.935323
2026-01-25 1.255032 1.417590 1.607987 1.851516 2.161016 2.550641 3.094911
2026-02-01 1.199003 1.365675 1.563723 1.821370 2.155641 2.587024 3.208856
2026-02-08 1.137580 1.303921 1.503748 1.767117 2.114338 2.571305 3.246903
2026-02-15 1.095026 1.263223 1.467547 1.740480 2.106380 2.598015 3.344964
2026-02-22 1.064793 1.236308 1.447028 1.732389 2.121624 2.656113 3.492231
2026-03-01 1.031378 1.203919 1.417896 1.711014 2.116728 2.684352 3.595297
2026-03-08 0.987470 1.156676 1.367803 1.659208 2.066484 2.643470 3.585683
2026-03-15 0.962900 1.134962 1.352038 1.655792 2.087964 2.714637 3.772225
2026-03-22 0.948710 1.126253 1.353105 1.675640 2.144268 2.843027 4.070967
2026-03-29 0.920864 1.098739 1.328075 1.657900 2.144492 2.885161 4.227304
2026-04-05 0.904237 1.085319 1.321285 1.665295 2.182218 2.989129 4.508511
2026-04-12 0.892194 1.077427 1.321471 1.682354 2.235272 3.122130 4.864616
2026-04-19 0.871162 1.056678 1.303053 1.671191 2.243394 3.180119 5.082007
2026-04-26 0.846647 1.030434 1.276019 1.645956 2.227471 3.194995 5.212359
2026-05-03 0.816560 0.995798 1.236173 1.599994 2.175741 3.143024 5.192801
2026-05-10 0.795621 0.973138 1.212495 1.577371 2.160634 3.155099 5.315609
2026-05-17 0.780822 0.958495 1.199646 1.570503 2.170781 3.213357 5.551664
2026-05-24 0.763190 0.939462 1.179932 1.552275 2.160879 3.233488 5.701761